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Which signal types have actually been meaningful historically?
Every return here was measured for real, after its horizon actually elapsed — there is no look-ahead calculation using information that didn't exist at detection time. Cells with fewer than 5 cases are deliberately hidden — an average from too small a sample is more misleading than useful. There is no Max Drawdown metric yet (needs daily price data between detection and measurement, not just two endpoint prices — a real future addition).
| Signal Type | 1d | 7d | 30d | 90d | 180d | 1y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum Spike | -0.5% n=747 · 46% positive | -0.5% n=747 · 46% positive | -5.0% n=120 · 26% positive | — | — | — |
| Technical Breakout | -0.5% n=546 · 46% positive | -0.4% n=541 · 47% positive | -6.3% n=73 · 21% positive | — | — | — |
| Valuation | -0.4% n=199 · 44% positive | -0.5% n=199 · 44% positive | -5.9% n=43 · 30% positive | — | — | — |
| 🧠 FOMO Spike | +0.2% n=141 · 34% positive | -0.4% n=141 · 30% positive | — | — | — | — |
| 🧠 Narrative Divergence | -2.6% n=80 · 29% positive | -2.9% n=78 · 27% positive | — | — | — | — |
| 🧠 Euphoria Watch | -2.7% n=79 · 41% positive | -3.8% n=79 · 37% positive | — | — | — | — |
| Volume Anomaly | -0.4% n=74 · 45% positive | -0.2% n=74 · 45% positive | — (n=2) | — | — | — |
| 🧠 Fear Spike | +68.1% n=46 · 35% positive | +67.4% n=46 · 37% positive | — | — | — | — |
| News Sentiment Shift | -1.5% n=45 · 36% positive | -1.4% n=45 · 36% positive | — (n=3) | — | — | — |
| Smart Money Activity | -0.2% n=33 · 61% positive | -0.3% n=33 · 61% positive | -4.7% n=8 · 25% positive | — | — | — |
| Score Deterioration | — (n=1) | — (n=1) | — | — | — | — |
Past performance does not guarantee future results. This is a transparent research tool, not investment advice — see also our disclaimer.